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Stocks climb after jobless claims fall

Tim Paradis | Hagadone News Network | UPDATED 14 years, 4 months AGO
by Tim Paradis
| July 9, 2010 9:00 PM

NEW YORK - Investors are getting enthusiastic about stocks again after some reassuring news from the job market.

Stocks rose for a third straight day Thursday on the Labor Department's report of a larger than expected drop in the number of newly laid-off people seeking unemployment benefits. The Dow Jones industrial average rose 121 points after climbing 275 Wednesday and advancing modestly Tuesday. The 4.7 percent gain in that time is the Dow's best three-day move since mid-May.

Employment news has been the key driver behind the market's moves during the past few weeks. Thursday's news was a welcome change from a string of disappointing jobs reports, including the government's June employment numbers, that have pounded stocks recently.

The Labor Department said initial claims for jobless benefits fell last week to their lowest levels since early May. Claims fell to 454,000, better than the 465,000 forecast by economists polled by Thomson Reuters.

High unemployment has dragged down consumer confidence, which in turn has slowed spending. And because consumers account for about 70 percent of U.S. economic activity, the recovery is unlikely to gain much momentum unless consumers are working and feeling more secure about spending.

Major retailers had mixed news Thursday about consumer spending. Several big retailers including those that cater to teenagers reported lackluster June sales. Others including department store operators Macy's Inc. and JCPenney Co., saw a pickup in business. Overall, merchants said shoppers again spent cautiously, and analysts said stores were discounting heavily in order to bring customers in.

Hank Smith, chief investment officer of equity at Haverford Investments in Radnor, Pa., said some investors have been worried about a so-called "double-dip" in the economy but that more recent data, including Thursday's jobs report, are a reminder that the recovery is continuing.

"It's hard to see rolling into a double dip," he said.

Stocks got some support from a global economic forecast from the International Monetary Fund. The IMF raised its world growth estimate for the year to 4.6 percent from 4.2 percent. The stock market's losses since the major indexes reached 2010 highs in late April have been largely due to fears that debt problems in European countries might hurt the recovery around the world.

The market's advance accelerated in the final hour. Many investors, seeing stocks hold their gains, wanted to be sure they didn't miss out on the rally, so they began buying before the closing bell.

The Dow rose 120.71, or 1.2 percent, to 10,138.99. The Standard & Poor's 500 index rose 9.98, or 0.9 percent, to 1,070.25, while the Nasdaq composite index rose 15.93, or 0.7 percent, to 2,175.40.

The Dow jumped back above 10,000 Wednesday. Traders say the recent gains, which came after seven straight days of declines, were not tied to any one particular catalyst. Instead some investors went back into the market thinking prices had been beaten down too much in the past couple of weeks. But trading volume has been light this week. That's a sign that few investors are driving the advance. And that means the gains could quickly unravel if more disappointing economic news arrives.

Interest rates were mixed in the Treasury market as investors sold bonds following the jobs report. Rates usually rise when there are signs the economy is improving because a stronger economy eventually leads to inflation.

The yield on the 10-year Treasury note, which moves opposite its price, rose to 3.03 percent from 2.99 percent late Wednesday. The yield fell below 3 percent last week for the first time since April 2009 as investors worried about the economy rushed into Treasurys. The yield on 10-year Treasurys helps determine the interest rate on some mortgages and other consumer loans.

The higher forecast from the IMF helped boost overseas markets and the euro. The 16-nation currency climbed to $1.2698, its highest level since May.

Among retailers, teen retailer American Eagle Outfitters Inc. fell 46 cents, or 3.8 percent, to $11.80 after reporting disappointing June sales. Abercrombie & Fitch rose $2.55, or 7.8 percent, to $35.45 after its sales at stores open at least a year rose 9 percent.

Gap Inc. said sales at stores open at least one year were unchanged in June, less than analysts expected. The stock fell $1.50, or 7.6 percent, to $18.22.

Macy's rose 53 cents, or almost 3 percent, to $18.44. Penney was up $1.46, or 6.7 percent, at $23.24.

Four stocks rose for every one that fell on the New York Stock Exchange, where volume came to 1.2 billion shares, compared with 1.3 billion Wednesday.

The Russell 2000 index of smaller companies rose 8.61, or 1.4 percent, to 620.27.

Britain's FTSE 100 rose 1.8 percent, Germany's DAX index rose 0.7 percent, and France's CAC-40 gained 1.6 percent. Japan's Nikkei stock average jumped 2.8 percent.

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