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Ag markets ended the week in mixed fashion

Doane Advisory Services | Hagadone News Network | UPDATED 10 years, 11 months AGO
by Doane Advisory Services
| August 1, 2014 1:30 PM

Corn futures remained under pressure Friday. Prospects for a huge fall crop rather obviously weighed upon corn prices again today, especially with Corn Belt rainfall now forecast for the next two weeks. The fact that nearby futures failed at their 10-day moving averages this week probably exaggerated CBOT selling. September corn settled 4.5 cents lower at $3.525/bushel Friday, while December lost 4.75 cents to $3.6225.

Improved moisture projections apparently weighed on the soy complex. Soybean and product futures bounced in late July as the Corn Belt dried out, since arid August conditions can significantly reduce the fall bean harvest. However, the return of rain to short-term forecasts alleviated those concerns, while traders cited slippage in basis quotes. That triggered renewed CBOT selling as well. September soybean futures fell 26.25 cents to $10.735/bushel as Friday’s pit session ended, while November futures tumbled 23.5 cents to $10.585. September soyoil slumped 0.62 cents to 35.54 cents/pound and September soymeal dipped $6.2 to $355.8/ton.

The wheat markets proved surprisingly firm Friday. Current weather forecasts, as well as the latest financial market developments (falling stocks and rising dollar) didn’t favor grain strength, but wheat futures ended the week on a decidedly firm note. That seemingly reflected potential production problems in a few other countries, as well as talk of improved demand for U.S. wheat. September CBOT wheat rallied 4.0 cents to $5.3425/bushel at their Friday settlement, and September KC wheat surged 7.0 cents to $6.3275/bushel, while September MWE wheat ended the day unchanged at $6.16.

Cattle futures bounced from midmorning lows. As seemed likely after Thursday’s CME breakdown, country cattle producers began taking packer bids near the lower end of last week’s price range this morning. Futures fell sharply in response, but bounced from the lows since the cash losses weren’t all that large. October live cattle dove 1.32 cents to 156.00 cents/pound in late Friday action, while December dove plunged 1.67 cents to 156.42. Meanwhile, September feeder futures plummeted 1.30 cents to 219.90 cents/pound, and November feeders crashed 1.77 cents to 218.20.

Hog futures ended the week in mixed fashion. Hog futures have recently suffered badly from bearish seasonal expectations, today’s midsession cash and wholesale quotes seemed particularly negative and concurrent cattle losses seemingly spilled over into the hog pit as well. However, futures firmed later in the day, with only the most-active October contract ending the day lower. October hog futures closed down 0.35 cents to 102.82 cents/pound, while December added 0.22 cents to 94.40.

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ARTICLES BY DOANE ADVISORY SERVICES

Sliding soy meal futures took starch out of crop markets Tuesday
October 28, 2014 1:30 p.m.

Sliding soy meal futures took starch out of crop markets Tuesday

Corn futures set back in concert with soybeans. Soybeans and meal led the crop markets sharply higher Monday night and Tuesday morning, with bulls apparently banking on robust demand and slow harvests to power prices higher. However, the surge ran out of momentum and bullish profit-taking and fresh selling greatly reduced the gains. Corn did close slightly higher. December corn futures ended Tuesday having gained 1.5 cents to $3.645/bushel, while May added 1.25 to $3.8675.

Tuesday's early meal reversal weighed on crop markets
October 28, 2014 9 a.m.

Tuesday's early meal reversal weighed on crop markets

Talk of slow harvesting is again boosting corn futures. Soybeans and meal led the crop markets higher overnight, but have set back from their highs. However, that has done little to discourage corn bulls, who reportedly were encouraged by the persistently slow harvest. December corn futures climbed 4.75 cents to $3.6775/bushel late Monday morning, while May added 4.0 to $3.895.

Ag markets posted mixed closes ahead of Thursday's USDA reports
September 10, 2014 1:30 p.m.

Ag markets posted mixed closes ahead of Thursday's USDA reports

Traders were looking forward to Thursday’s USDA reports Wednesday. Expectations for a massive corn harvest have weighed heavily upon the market this summer. However, the possibility that tomorrow’s USDA Crop Production and WASDE reports will hold surprises apparently spurred short-covering ahead of their release. Thus, corn futures traded slightly higher. December corn futures closed up 1.5 cents to $3.4575/bushel Wednesday, while May rose 1.25 to $3.6675.