Saturday, May 31, 2025
52.0°F

Ag markets proved surprisingly changeable Thursday morning

Doane Advisory Services | Hagadone News Network | UPDATED 10 years, 10 months AGO
by Doane Advisory Services
| July 24, 2014 10:00 AM

Corn futures dipped on China talk Thursday morning. Corn futures followed soybeans higher Wednesday night and seemed likely to keep rising after the weekly Export Sales report stated the new-crop result far above expectations. However, rumors that China will insist that U.S. DDGs shipped to that country be certified free of an unapproved GMO trait apparently undercut the market. September corn sank 0.25 cents to $3.6225/bushel late Thursday morning, while December sagged 0.5 cent to $3.7025.

Soy prices set back from early highs. Forecasts for Corn Belt dryness in late July and early August sparked a follow-through rally in the CBOT soy complex overnight. Moreover, the results of the weekly Export Sales report looked generally bullish for bean and product futures. Nevertheless, Chicago prices declined from their early highs. The reason for the drop was obvious, which may bode ill for short-term prospects. August soybean futures advanced 15.5 cents to $12.165/bushel around midsession Thursday, while November futures climbed 16.5 cents to $10.93. August soyoil ran up 0.18 cents to 36.38 cents/pound and August soymeal climbed $6.2 to $397.7/ton.

The wheat markets turned mixed. Wheat futures also followed soybeans upward overnight, but have subsequently set back. The Export Sales data looked neutral. The morning decline may partially reflect news that scouts are finding strong productive potential while touring spring wheat across the northern Plains. September CBOT wheat gained 3.0 cents to $5.3375/bushel as lunchtime loomed Thursday, while September KC wheat edged up 1.5 cents to $6.25/bushel, and September MWE wheat moved up 1.5 cents to $6.225.

Cattle futures proved quite volatile Thursday morning. News that western Plains cattle were trading at record highs in the $160-$162/cwt area sent CME futures soaring early this morning. However, bulls proved unable to sustain the advance, thereby triggering a technical drop that put the complex lower on the day. Prices have since recovered, but today’s action suggests a major CME top may be looming. August live cattle had surged 0.95 cents to 157.00 cents/pound in late Thursday morning action, while December gained 0.32 cents to 158.05. Meanwhile, August feeder futures rose 0.40 cents to 217.65 cents/pound, but October feeders dropped 0.17 to 218.00.

Hog futures remain under pressure. Wednesday’s hog breakdown had lots of bearish technical implications, so late-day news of sizeable cash and wholesale losses triggered fresh CME selling overnight and again this morning. The August future is trying to firm, but its ability to sustain the bounce is debatable. August hog futures dove 1.25 cents to 123.32 cents/pound just before lunchtime Thursday, while December plunged 2.30 cents to 99.20.

MORE IMPORTED STORIES

Ag markets proved surprisingly changeable Thursday morning
basinbusinessjournal | Updated 10 years, 10 months ago
Bears made presence felt in the ag markets Thursday afternoon
Columbia Basin Herald | Updated 10 years, 10 months ago
Bears made presence felt in the ag markets Thursday afternoon
basinbusinessjournal | Updated 10 years, 10 months ago

ARTICLES BY DOANE ADVISORY SERVICES

Sliding soy meal futures took starch out of crop markets Tuesday
October 28, 2014 1:30 p.m.

Sliding soy meal futures took starch out of crop markets Tuesday

Corn futures set back in concert with soybeans. Soybeans and meal led the crop markets sharply higher Monday night and Tuesday morning, with bulls apparently banking on robust demand and slow harvests to power prices higher. However, the surge ran out of momentum and bullish profit-taking and fresh selling greatly reduced the gains. Corn did close slightly higher. December corn futures ended Tuesday having gained 1.5 cents to $3.645/bushel, while May added 1.25 to $3.8675.

Tuesday's early meal reversal weighed on crop markets
October 28, 2014 9 a.m.

Tuesday's early meal reversal weighed on crop markets

Talk of slow harvesting is again boosting corn futures. Soybeans and meal led the crop markets higher overnight, but have set back from their highs. However, that has done little to discourage corn bulls, who reportedly were encouraged by the persistently slow harvest. December corn futures climbed 4.75 cents to $3.6775/bushel late Monday morning, while May added 4.0 to $3.895.

Ag markets posted mixed closes ahead of Thursday's USDA reports
September 10, 2014 1:30 p.m.

Ag markets posted mixed closes ahead of Thursday's USDA reports

Traders were looking forward to Thursday’s USDA reports Wednesday. Expectations for a massive corn harvest have weighed heavily upon the market this summer. However, the possibility that tomorrow’s USDA Crop Production and WASDE reports will hold surprises apparently spurred short-covering ahead of their release. Thus, corn futures traded slightly higher. December corn futures closed up 1.5 cents to $3.4575/bushel Wednesday, while May rose 1.25 to $3.6675.