Bean, meal strength pull crop markets higher Monday morning
Doane Advisory Services | Hagadone News Network | UPDATED 11 years AGO
Soybeans and meal led the crop markets higher Monday morning. Ideas that today’s weekly USDA Crop Progress report will show a big increase in crop harvesting weighed on corn and bean futures Sunday night. However, daily and weekly reports confirmed extremely strong demand for beans (and probably meal), which sent those markets and the other crops higher. December corn futures rose 4.0 cents to $3.57/bushel late Monday morning, while May added 4.0 to $3.7925.
Beans and meal diverged from weak oil prices. The USDA announced sizeable sales on daily reports this morning, then followed those with a huge total on the weekly Export Inspections report. Beans and meal surged on the evidence of vigorous demand, whereas weak palm and crude oil markets are weighing on soy oil quotes. November soybean futures gained 9.25 cents to $9.8675/bushel just before lunchtime Monday, while December soyoil slid 0.12 cents to 32.27 cents/pound, and December soymeal surged $13.2 to $363.4/ton.
The wheat markets are also trying to follow the bean rally. Weekend news concerning wheat was rather minimal and was apparently construed as rather bearish. Today’s result on the Export Inspections report was also disappointing. Nevertheless, wheat futures have also followed the bean market higher. Fund short covering may be contributing to the rise. December CBOT wheat bounced 3.75 cents at $5.215/bushel in late Monday morning action while December KC wheat edged up 1.5 cent to $5.9525/bushel, and December MWE wheat lifted 3.5 to $5.705.
Cattle traders apparently expect continued cash firmness. Last Friday’s Cattle on Feed report seemed neutral to bearish, but CME traders obviously found it no obstacle to fresh gains. There’s little news, so one can probably assume CME traders are expecting firm-higher cash trading later this week. December live cattle futures jumped 1.32 cents to 168.22 cents/pound around midsession Monday, while April futures soared 1.57 to 166.35. Meanwhile, November feeder cattle futures surged 1.17 cents to 235.82 cents/pound, and January feeders leapt 1.62 cents to 230.52.
Seasonal spot market weakness is apparently depressing CME hogs. December hog futures proved surprisingly firm last Friday, possibly due the small weekly kill. However, prices turned lower again this morning, which very likely represents a market reaction to talk of continued cash and wholesale losses. December hog futures dove 1.17 cents to 89.07 cents/pound late Friday morning, while April hogs fell 0.62 to 88.57.
ARTICLES BY DOANE ADVISORY SERVICES
Sliding soy meal futures took starch out of crop markets Tuesday
Corn futures set back in concert with soybeans. Soybeans and meal led the crop markets sharply higher Monday night and Tuesday morning, with bulls apparently banking on robust demand and slow harvests to power prices higher. However, the surge ran out of momentum and bullish profit-taking and fresh selling greatly reduced the gains. Corn did close slightly higher. December corn futures ended Tuesday having gained 1.5 cents to $3.645/bushel, while May added 1.25 to $3.8675.
Tuesday's early meal reversal weighed on crop markets
Talk of slow harvesting is again boosting corn futures. Soybeans and meal led the crop markets higher overnight, but have set back from their highs. However, that has done little to discourage corn bulls, who reportedly were encouraged by the persistently slow harvest. December corn futures climbed 4.75 cents to $3.6775/bushel late Monday morning, while May added 4.0 to $3.895.
Ag markets posted mixed closes ahead of Thursday's USDA reports
Traders were looking forward to Thursday’s USDA reports Wednesday. Expectations for a massive corn harvest have weighed heavily upon the market this summer. However, the possibility that tomorrow’s USDA Crop Production and WASDE reports will hold surprises apparently spurred short-covering ahead of their release. Thus, corn futures traded slightly higher. December corn futures closed up 1.5 cents to $3.4575/bushel Wednesday, while May rose 1.25 to $3.6675.