Ag markets moved mostly lower Monday
Doane Advisory Services | Hagadone News Network | UPDATED 10 years, 8 months AGO
Reduced frost risk undercut the crop markets Monday. The lack of action in the Black Sea region probably depressed the grain markets today, but the early revision to the weather forecast seems more important at this point. That is, the anticipated freeze line on the weekend weather forecasts moved northward, thereby reducing the potential damage to the corn and soybean crops. December corn futures fell 7.75 cents to $3.4825/bushel at their Monday close, while May lost 7.25 to $3.695.
The weather forecast also depressed the soy complex. The expiring September bean and meal contracts traded higher Monday, which likely reflected persistently strong soy demand. However, the latest weather forecasts imply diminished chances of major frost damage to beans this weekend, so traders reacted accordingly. November soybean futures tumbled 13.0 cents to $10.085/bushel Monday afternoon, while October soyoil dropped 0.32 cents to 31.96 cents/pound, and October soymeal skidded $4.2 to $353.1/ton.
Limited Ukraine news may have depressed the wheat markets. Concerns about possible weekend events probably boosted grain futures last Friday. Things weren’t all that quiet, but there was no major news either. The lack of hostile activity, as well as reduced frost threat, seemingly explains the dip in wheat futures. Ideas that high-quality winter wheat will be needed to offset poor quality spring wheat appears to be boosting KC prices. December CBOT wheat settled down 1.75 cents to $5.335/bushel Monday, while December KC wheat rose 0.5 cent to $6.29/bushel, and December MWE wheat sank 0.75 to $6.1075.
Cattle futures took a break after last week’s big gains. Cash cattle prices exceeded bullish expectations last Friday, thereby powering a big late-week CME advance. Traders now wonder if the market can build upon those gains; today’s action suggests they’re undecided. October live cattle futures dove 1.22 cents to 158.52 cents/pound in late Monday trading, while December futures slipped 0.08 to 160.85. Meanwhile, October feeder futures surged 1.55 cents to 225.92 cents/pound, and January feeders advanced 1.42 to 217.97.
Hog traders seemed more optimistic about deferred prospects. October hog futures led the way upward last week as traders anticipated a short-term bounce. However, the market seems to think the October surge was overdone, whereas rising prices in the deferred contrasts suggested renewed confidence about the intermediate-term outlook. October hogs plunged 2.55 cents to 103.07 cents/pound as Monday’s CME session ended, while December climbed 0.60 to 96.05.
MORE IMPORTED STORIES
ARTICLES BY DOANE ADVISORY SERVICES

Sliding soy meal futures took starch out of crop markets Tuesday
Corn futures set back in concert with soybeans. Soybeans and meal led the crop markets sharply higher Monday night and Tuesday morning, with bulls apparently banking on robust demand and slow harvests to power prices higher. However, the surge ran out of momentum and bullish profit-taking and fresh selling greatly reduced the gains. Corn did close slightly higher. December corn futures ended Tuesday having gained 1.5 cents to $3.645/bushel, while May added 1.25 to $3.8675.

Tuesday's early meal reversal weighed on crop markets
Talk of slow harvesting is again boosting corn futures. Soybeans and meal led the crop markets higher overnight, but have set back from their highs. However, that has done little to discourage corn bulls, who reportedly were encouraged by the persistently slow harvest. December corn futures climbed 4.75 cents to $3.6775/bushel late Monday morning, while May added 4.0 to $3.895.

Ag markets posted mixed closes ahead of Thursday's USDA reports
Traders were looking forward to Thursday’s USDA reports Wednesday. Expectations for a massive corn harvest have weighed heavily upon the market this summer. However, the possibility that tomorrow’s USDA Crop Production and WASDE reports will hold surprises apparently spurred short-covering ahead of their release. Thus, corn futures traded slightly higher. December corn futures closed up 1.5 cents to $3.4575/bushel Wednesday, while May rose 1.25 to $3.6675.