Divergent livestock futures highlighted Wednesday's market action
Doane Advisory Services | Hagadone News Network | UPDATED 10 years, 4 months AGO
Ethanol news likely undercut corn futures Wednesday. The weekly EIA report on the energy sector stated domestic ethanol stocks at an 18-month high, thereby implying diminished corn demand from that sector. That won’t help the grain industry with another massive harvest looming. December corn futures dipped 2.0 cents to $3.4175/bushel in late Wednesday trading, while May sagged 1.75 to $3.625.
Bullish export news supported the soy complex. One has to suspect talk of big Chinese bean buying played a sizeable role in the soy gains posted Tuesday night. The USDA announced Wednesday morning that China had bought 620,000 tonnes of beans for 2014/15 delivery. Prices set back from the early highs, with meal values dropping below unchanged levels. November soybean futures inched up 1.75 cents to $9.825/bushel at their Wednesday close, while October soyoil followed palm prices higher, rising 0.58 cents to 33.39 cents/pound, and October soymeal sank $1.9 to $336.4/ton.
The failed Japanese tender may have encouraged wheat traders. The global wheat situation certainly seems bearish, with glutted conditions having weighed on prices for months. However, news that a Japan got no bids on a Tuesday night tender suggests the price was simply too low for suppliers, thereby implying emerging market support. Wire service sources cited bargain-hunting. December CBOT wheat bounced 3.0 cents to $4.9925/bushel as Wednesday’s pit session ended, while December KC wheat dipped 1.0 cent to $5.8225/bushel, and December MWE wheat slumped 2.5 to $5.63.
Cattle traders became more optimistic Wednesday. After falling sharply last Friday and again Monday, beef prices lost less ground Tuesday. That news, along with a ‘hammer’ reversal signal on the candlestick charts, seemed to encourage cattle traders about short-term cash prospects. October live cattle futures surged 0.82 cents to 157.02 cents/pound as Wednesday’s CME session concluded, while December futures jumped 1.12 to 160.00. Meanwhile, October feeder futures soared 2.22 cents to 228.10 cents/pound, and January feeders leapt 2.35 to 220.12.
Hog futures proved surprisingly weak. Both cash hog and pork values rose significantly Tuesday, thereby seeming to imply more of the same during the days ahead. However, CME futures turned decidedly lower in response to bearish midday spot reports. Those might presage more of the same during the coming days and weeks. October hogs dove 1.77 cents to 105.10 cents/pound at their Wednesday settlement, while December plummeted 2.02 to 93.90.
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Sliding soy meal futures took starch out of crop markets Tuesday
Corn futures set back in concert with soybeans. Soybeans and meal led the crop markets sharply higher Monday night and Tuesday morning, with bulls apparently banking on robust demand and slow harvests to power prices higher. However, the surge ran out of momentum and bullish profit-taking and fresh selling greatly reduced the gains. Corn did close slightly higher. December corn futures ended Tuesday having gained 1.5 cents to $3.645/bushel, while May added 1.25 to $3.8675.
Tuesday's early meal reversal weighed on crop markets
Talk of slow harvesting is again boosting corn futures. Soybeans and meal led the crop markets higher overnight, but have set back from their highs. However, that has done little to discourage corn bulls, who reportedly were encouraged by the persistently slow harvest. December corn futures climbed 4.75 cents to $3.6775/bushel late Monday morning, while May added 4.0 to $3.895.
Ag markets posted mixed closes ahead of Thursday's USDA reports
Traders were looking forward to Thursday’s USDA reports Wednesday. Expectations for a massive corn harvest have weighed heavily upon the market this summer. However, the possibility that tomorrow’s USDA Crop Production and WASDE reports will hold surprises apparently spurred short-covering ahead of their release. Thus, corn futures traded slightly higher. December corn futures closed up 1.5 cents to $3.4575/bushel Wednesday, while May rose 1.25 to $3.6675.