Amid hot race for open Senate seat, Trump carries Kansas
John Hanna | Hagadone News Network | UPDATED 4 years AGO
TOPEKA, Kan. (AP) — Kansas has had its most competitive U.S. Senate race in decades, though President Donald Trump carried the state in the presidential race.
The marquee race in Tuesday’s election was the Senate contest between Republican Roger Marshall, a two-term congressman from western and central Kansas, and Democrat Barbara Bollier, a Kansas City-area state senator. The race was the most expensive in Kansas history, with Bollier setting a state record by raising more than $25 million to Marshall’s $6.5 million and outside groups pouring in $41 million on advertising, the bulk of it from GOP groups backing Marshall.
Marshall and Bollier were running for the seat held by retiring four-term Republican Sen. Pat Roberts, and two of the state’s four U.S. House seats were open this year.
HOT SENATE RACE
Democrats have not won a Senate race in Kansas since 1932, but the Marshall-Bollier contest represented their best shot since 1974, when then-Republican Sen. Bob Dole won reelection by less than 2 percentage points following the Watergate scandal that forced President Richard Nixon from office.
Bollier, a former lifelong moderate Republican who switched parties at the end of 2018, was one of several Democratic candidates around the country who attracted millions of dollars in contributions from outside their home states as the party tried to take control of the Senate. Bollier pitched herself as an independent centrist.
Marshall and his allies attacked Bollier for her strong support of abortion rights and gun control measures, and he hoped wavering GOP voters would drift back to the fold, as they had in past elections.
PRESIDENTIAL RACE
Trump’s hold on Kansas’ six electoral votes always seemed secure, given that no Democratic presidential candidate has carried the state since incumbent Lyndon Johnson in his 1964 national landslide. Trump won Kansas by nearly 21 percentage points over Hillary Clinton in 2016.
But with Trump’s support in suburban areas eroded, Democrats hoped presidential nominee and former Vice President Joe Biden do better than Clinton. Democrat Barack Obama topped 41% in Kansas in 2008, and Jimmy Carter approached 45% in 1976.
RECORD NUMBERS EXPECTED
The state's top elections official forecast a 70% turnout, predicting that a record 1.35 million of the state's nearly 1.94 million registered would cast ballots. The coronavirus pandemic led to an unusual surge in early voting, with more than 813,005 ballots cast before Election Day by mail or in person. Even before polls opened on Election Day, the state had reached a 42% turnout rate, and election officials said they expected to exceed their initial forecast turnout by the time all ballots were cast.
NEW HOUSE MEMBERS
Marshall's decision to run for the Senate opened up his seat representing the sprawling 1st Congressional District in central and western Kansas. The district is among the safest in the country for Republicans, making it an near-certainty that former Lt. Gov. Tracey Mann, a commercial real estate broker from Salina, would defeat Democrat Kali Barnett, a Garden City elementary school teacher.
Republicans also were expected to retain the 2nd District seat representing eastern Kansas after State Treasurer Jake LaTurner ousted Rep. Steve Watkins in the GOP primary. Watkins was charged with three felonies for allegedly listing a postal box at a UPS Inc. store as his residence for voter registration late last year. LaTurner was vying for the seat Tuesday with Topeka's Democratic mayor, Michelle De La Isla.
INCUMBENTS EXPECTED TO WIN
The lone Democrat in the state's congressional delegation, freshman Rep. Sharice Davids, was expected to defeat Republican Amanda Adkins and win a second term representing the state's 3rd Congressional District, in the Kansas City area. Adkins is an executive on leave from medical computer systems firm Cerner Corp. and a former Kansas Republican Party chairwoman who has political ties to unpopular former GOP Gov. Sam Brownback. After winning the seat in 2018, Davids positioned herself as a centrist in Congress. Trump lost the district narrowly in 2016.
In the 4th District in the Wichita area, Republican Rep. Ron Estes was expected to win reelection easily.
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