Voting for this year’s Academy Award nominations is nearly wrapped, with an announcement set for early Tuesday morning, Feb. 8. It’ll be another six weeks before the actual ceremony arrives on March 27.

I don’t have a vote with the Academy, obviously, but if I had an influence on the proceedings, the nominations might look a little different than what we’ll all see on Tuesday.

Here’s my ballot on several categories alongside a few notes on who to expect on the official list.

Best Picture

The nominees for the Producers Guild this year looks to be a solid predictor of which movies will make the Academy’s 10-movie Best Picture race. Of those strong contenders, I’d probably switch out more than half of them.

My ballot

Of the predicted Oscar nominees, I’ll keep:

1) The Power of the Dog

2) West Side Story

3) Licorice Pizza

4) CODA

I’d honestly dump the rest of the PGA list (with titles like “Don’t Look Up,” “Being the Ricardos,” “King Richard” and “Belfast”) in favor of a more eclectic ballot of personal favorites, so…

5) Nine Days

6) The French Dispatch

7) The Green Knight

8) Pig

9) The Tragedy of Macbeth

10) Titane

Of those 5-10 titles, only “The Tragedy of Macbeth” has a realistic chance of making the Academy list, unfortunately.

Best Actress

An extremely competitive category this year, the Best Actress race will likely feature five worthy performances. From the list of Screen Actors Guild (SAG) nominees, I’ll keep Olivia Colman from “The Lost Daughter” and Jessica Chastain for “The Eyes of Tammy Faye.” My favorite performance in this category remains Kristen Stewart for “Spencer” (she retains a strong chance at an Oscar nomination, despite her miss at SAG). My final spots go to Tessa Thompson from “Passing” and Jodie Comer from “The Last Duel,” two underrated, subtle performances that I prefer over the showier likely nominees of Lady Gaga (“House of Gucci”) and Nicole Kidman (“Being the Ricardos”).

Best Actor

I’ll choose three names that’ll be likely nominees on Tuesday — “Benedict Cumberbatch” for “The Power of the Dog,” Will Smith for “King Richard” and Denzel Washington for “The Tragedy of Macbeth.” My other two slots go to a longshot contender in Nicolas Cage for “Pig,” and a no-chance-in-heck-to be nominated Dev Patel from “The Green Knight.”

Best Supporting Actress

It looks like Ariana DeBrose is on her way to winning this category for her breakout role in “West Side Story,” and I’m absolutely OK with that happening. She edges out my close second, Kirsten Dunst from “The Power of the Dog,” followed by Aunjanue Ellis from “King Richard.” Then I’m picking two names that definitely won’t get nominated — Martha Plimpton in the powerful-but-largely ignored “Mass,” and Zazie Beetz from the also ignored “Nine Days.”

Best Supporting Actor

I’m on board for four of the five nominees in this year’s SAG lineup, though that Bradley Cooper performance in “Licorice Pizza,” amazing as it is, feels more like a cameo. Nevertheless, I’ll take him, my boy Ben Affleck for “The Last Duel” (though he was SAG nominated for “The Tender Bar”), Troy Kotsur from “CODA” and Kodi Smit-McPhee in “The Power of the Dog.” I’m not a fan of that Jared Leto performance in “House of Gucci,” so I’m switching him out for Jeffrey Wright in “The French Dispatch.” OK, look, sorry Bradley, but I guess I will pull your “Licorice” cameo out in favor of Jason Isaacs from “Mass.”

Best Director

Easy locks for me here are Jane Campion for “The Power of the Dog” and Steven Spielberg for “West Side Story.” Paul Thomas Anderson hasn’t won a directing Oscar, and that’s insane, so I’m putting him in for “Licorice Pizza.” No disrespect to Denis Villeneuve, but “Dune” felt like half a movie to me, so I’m not voting for him, at least not until after Part Two. I’ll continue to beat the drum for “The French Dispatch” and add another Anderson in the mix form of Wes. Finally, I’m reserving my last pick for the biggest risk of 2021 — Julia Ducournau and her wildly divisive “Titane.”

Best Adapted Screenplay

Some usual suspects here for me in the form of “The Power of the Dog” and “West Side Story.” I’ll pick “The Lost Daughter” and “The Tragedy of MacBeth” from the pile of likely and/or possible Oscar nominees. My fifth pick goes to “The Green Knight,” a movie that takes a creative and exciting approach to an old story.

Best Original Screenplay

I’m ditching most of the major Oscar players here, minus Paul Thomas Anderson’s “Licorice Pizza,” in favor of movies I liked way more, including “Nine Days,” “Pig,” “The French Dispatch” and “Titane.”

Now some rapid fire personal picks for a few other categories, listed alphabetically:

Animated Feature

Encanto

Flee

Luca

The Mitchells vs. the Machines

Ron’s Gone Wrong

Cinematography

The French Dispatch

The Green Knight

Nightmare Alley

The Power of the Dog

The Tragedy of Macbeth

Editing

The French Dispatch

In the Heights

Licorice Pizza

The Power of the Dog

West Side Story

Production Design

Dune

The French Dispatch

Nightmare Alley

The Power of the Dog

West Side Story

Costume Design

Cruella

Dune

House of Gucci

Nightmare Alley

Spencer

Original Score

The Green Knight

The Harder They Fall

The Power of the Dog

Spencer

The Tragedy of Macbeth

• • •

Tyler Wilson is a member of the International Press Academy and has been writing about movies for Inland Northwest publications since 2000, including a regular column in The Press since 2006. He can be reached at twilson@cdapress.com.